Pathological N1/N2 in Clinical Stage I Bronchogenic Carcinoma. Analysis From a Prospective Multicentre Database

Objectives: To determine the incidence of occult N1/N2 nodal metastases and associated risk factors in patients with non-small cell lung cancer no larger than 3cm and deemed cN0 by CT and PET-CT in a prospective, multicentre national database. Methods: Patients with a NSCLC no larger than 3cm, deemed cN0 by PET-CT and CT scan, who had undergone at least a lobectomy, were selected from a national multicentre database of 3533 patients who had undergone anatomic lung resection between 2016 and 2018. Clinical and pathological variables of patients with pN0 and patients with pN1/N2 were compared to identify factors associated with the presence of lymph node metastases. Chi2 and the Mann–Whitney U test were used for categorical and numerical variables, respectively. All variables with p<0.2 in the univariate analysis were included in the multivariate logistic regression analysis. Results: The study included 1205 patients from the cohort. The incidence of occult pN1/N2 disease was 10.70% (95%CI, 9.01–12.58). The multivariable analysis revealed that the degree of differentiation, size, location (central or peripheral) and SUV of the tumour in PET, surgeon experience and number of lymph nodes resected were associated with occult N1/N2 metastases. Conclusions: The incidence of occult N1/N2 in patients with bronchogenic carcinoma with cN0 tumours no larger than 3cm is no negligible. Data about the degree of differentiation, tumour size in CT scan, maximal uptake of the tumour in PET-CT, location (central or peripheral), number of lymph nodes resected and surgeon seniority is relevant in order to detect patients at risk. (AU)

Resultados de la estadificación clínica ganglionar mediastínica del cáncer pulmonar quirúrgico: datos de la cohorte prospectiva nacional del Grupo Español de Cirugía Torácica Videoasistida / Results in mediastinal lymph node staging of surgical lung cancer: Data from the prospective cohort of the Spanish Video-Assisted Thoracic Surgery Group

Introducción: El objetivo del estudio es valorar el rendimiento diagnóstico de la tomografía computarizada (TC) y la tomografía por emisión de positrones (PET) en la estadificación clínica mediastínica del cáncer pulmonar quirúrgico según los datos de la cohorte prospectiva del Grupo Español de Cirugía Torácica Videoasistida (GEVATS). Métodos: Se han analizado 2.782 pacientes intervenidos por carcinoma pulmonar primario. Se ha estudiado el acierto diagnóstico en la estadificación mediastínica (cN2). Se ha realizado un análisis bivariante y multivariante de los factores que influyen en el acierto. Se ha estudiado el riesgo de pN2 inesperado en los factores con los que se recomienda una prueba invasiva de estadificación: cN1, tumor central o tamaño mayor de 3cm. Resultados: El acierto global de la TC y PET en conjunto es del 82,9% con VPP y VPN de 0,21 y 0,93. En tumores mayores de 3cm y a mayor SUVmax del mediastino, el acierto es menor, OR de 0,59 (0,44 – 0,79) y 0,71 (0,66 – 0,75), respectivamente. En el abordaje VATS el acierto es mayor, OR de 2,04 (1,52 – 2,73). El riesgo de pN2 inesperado aumenta con el número de los factores cN1, tumor central o tamaño mayor de 3cm: entre el 4,5% (0 factores) y 18,8% (3 factores), pero no hay diferencias significativas con la realización de prueba invasiva. Conclusiones: La TC y PET en conjunto tienen un elevado valor predictivo negativo. Su acierto global es menor en tumores mayores de 3cm y SUVmax del mediastino elevado, y mayor en el abordaje VATS. El riesgo de pN2 inesperado es mayor si cN1, tumor central o mayor de 3cm y no varía significativamente con prueba invasiva. (AU)

Objectives: The objective of this study was to assess the diagnostic performance of combined computerised tomography (CT) and positron emission tomography (PET) in mediastinal staging of surgical lung cancer based on data obtained from the prospective cohort of the Spanish Group for Video-Assisted Thoracic Surgery (GEVATS). Methods: A total of 2782 patients underwent surgery for primary lung carcinoma. We analysed diagnostic success in mediastinal lymph node staging (cN2) using CT and PET. Bivariate and multivariate analyses were performed of the factors involved in this success. The risk of unexpected pN2 disease was analysed for cases in which an invasive testing is recommended: cN1, the tumour centrally located or the tumour diameter >3cm. Results: The overall success of CT together with PET was 82.9% with a positive predictive value of 0.21 and negative predictive value of 0.93. If the tumour was larger than 3cm and for each unit increase in mediastinal SUVmax, the probability of success was lower with OR 0.59 (0.44–0.79) and 0.71 (0.66–0.75), respectively. In the video-assisted thoracic surgery (VATS) approach, the probability of success was higher with OR 2.04 (1.52–2.73). The risk of unexpected pN2 increased with the risk factors cN1, the tumour centrally located or the tumour diameter >3cm: from 4.5% (0 factors) to 18.8% (3 factors) but did not differ significantly as a function of whether invasive testing was performed. Conclusions: CT and PET together have a high negative predictive value. The overall success of the staging is lower in the case of tumours >3cm and high mediastinal SUVmax, and it is higher when VATS is performed. The risk of unexpected pN2 is higher if the disease is cN1, the tumour centrally located or the tumour diameter >3cm but does not vary significantly as a function of whether patients have undergone invasive testing. (AU)

Pathological N1/N2 in Clinical Stage I Bronchogenic Carcinoma. Analysis From a Prospective Multicentre Database.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the incidence of occult N1/N2 nodal metastases and associated risk factors in patients with non-small cell lung cancer no larger than 3cm and deemed cN0 by CT and PET-CT in a prospective, multicentre national database. METHODS: Patients with a NSCLC no larger than 3cm, deemed cN0 by PET-CT and CT scan, who had undergone at least a lobectomy, were selected from a national multicentre database of 3533 patients who had undergone anatomic lung resection between 2016 and 2018. Clinical and pathological variables of patients with pN0 and patients with pN1/N2 were compared to identify factors associated with the presence of lymph node metastases. Chi2 and the Mann-Whitney U test were used for categorical and numerical variables, respectively. All variables with p<0.2 in the univariate analysis were included in the multivariate logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: The study included 1205 patients from the cohort. The incidence of occult pN1/N2 disease was 10.70% (95%CI, 9.01-12.58). The multivariable analysis revealed that the degree of differentiation, size, location (central or peripheral) and SUV of the tumour in PET, surgeon experience and number of lymph nodes resected were associated with occult N1/N2 metastases. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of occult N1/N2 in patients with bronchogenic carcinoma with cN0 tumours no larger than 3cm is no negligible. Data about the degree of differentiation, tumour size in CT scan, maximal uptake of the tumour in PET-CT, location (central or peripheral), number of lymph nodes resected and surgeon seniority is relevant in order to detect patients at risk.

Results in mediastinal lymph node staging of surgical lung cancer: Data from the prospective cohort of the Spanish Video-Assisted Thoracic Surgery Group.

OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study was to assess the diagnostic performance of combined computerised tomography (CT) and positron emission tomography (PET) in mediastinal staging of surgical lung cancer based on data obtained from the prospective cohort of the Spanish Group for Video-Assisted Thoracic Surgery (GEVATS). METHODS: A total of 2782 patients underwent surgery for primary lung carcinoma. We analysed diagnostic success in mediastinal lymph node staging (cN2) using CT and PET. Bivariate and multivariate analyses were performed of the factors involved in this success. The risk of unexpected pN2 disease was analysed for cases in which an invasive testing is recommended: cN1, the tumour centrally located or the tumour diameter >3 cm. RESULTS: The overall success of CT together with PET was 82.9% with a positive predictive value of 0.21 and negative predictive value of 0.93. If the tumour was larger than 3 cm and for each unit increase in mediastinal SUVmax, the probability of success was lower with OR 0.59 (0.44-0.79) and 0.71 (0.66-0.75), respectively. In the video-assisted thoracic surgery (VATS) approach, the probability of success was higher with OR 2.04 (1.52-2.73). The risk of unexpected pN2 increased with the risk factors cN1, the tumour centrally located or the tumour diameter >3 cm: from 4.5% (0 factors) to 18.8% (3 factors) but did not differ significantly as a function of whether invasive testing was performed. CONCLUSIONS: CT and PET together have a high negative predictive value. The overall success of the staging is lower in the case of tumours >3 cm and high mediastinal SUVmax, and it is higher when VATS is performed. The risk of unexpected pN2 is higher if the disease is cN1, the tumour centrally located or the tumour diameter >3 cm but does not vary significantly as a function of whether patients have undergone invasive testing.

Riesgo quirúrgico tras resección pulmonar anatómica en cirugía torácica. Modelo predictivo a partir de una base de datos nacional multicéntrica / Surgical Risk Following Anatomic Lung Resection in Thoracic Surgery: A Prediction Model Derived from a Spanish Multicenter Database

Introducción: El objetivo es obtener un modelo predictor de riesgo quirúrgico en pacientes sometidos a resecciones pulmonares anatómicas a partir del registro del Grupo Español de Cirugía Torácica Videoasistida. Métodos: Se recogen datos de 3.533 pacientes sometidos a resección pulmonar anatómica por cualquier diagnóstico entre el 20 de diciembre de 2016 y el 20 de marzo de 2018.Definimos una variable resultado combinada: mortalidad o complicación Clavien Dindo IV a 90 días tras intervención quirúrgica. Se realizó análisis univariable y multivariable por regresión logística. La validación interna del modelo se llevó a cabo por técnicas de remuestreo. Resultados: La incidencia de la variable resultado fue del 4,29% (IC 95%: 3,6-4,9). Las variables que permanecen en el modelo logístico final fueron: edad, sexo, resección pulmonar oncológica previa, disnea (mMRC), neumonectomía derecha y DLCOppo. Los parámetros de rendimiento del modelo, ajustados por remuestreo, fueron: C-statistic 0,712 (IC 95%: 0,648-0,750), Brier score 0,042 y Booststrap shrinkage 0,854. Conclusiones: El modelo predictivo de riesgo obtenido a partir de la base de datos Grupo Español de Cirugía Torácica Videoasistida es un modelo sencillo, válido y fiable, y constituye una herramienta muy útil a la hora de establecer el riesgo de un paciente que se va a someter a una resección pulmonar anatómica. (AU)

Introduction: The aim of this study was to develop a surgical risk prediction model in patients undergoing anatomic lung resections from the registry of the Spanish Video-Assisted Thoracic Surgery Group (GEVATS). Methods: Data were collected from 3,533 patients undergoing anatomic lung resection for any diagnosis between December 20, 2016 and March 20, 2018.We defined a combined outcome variable: death or Clavien Dindo grade IV complication at 90 day.s after surgery. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed by logistic regression. Internal validation of the model was performed using resampling techniques. Results: The incidence of the outcome variable was 4.29% (95% CI 3.6-4.9). The variables remaining in the final logistic model were: age, sex, previous lung cancer resection, dyspnea (mMRC), right pneumonectomy, and ppo DLCO. The performance parameters of the model adjusted by resampling were: C-statistic 0.712 (95% CI 0.648-0.750), Brier score 0.042 and bootstrap shrinkage 0.854. Conclusions: The risk prediction model obtained from the GEVATS database is a simple, valid, and reliable model that is a useful tool for establishing the risk of a patient undergoing anatomic lung resection. (AU)

[Translated article] Surgical Risk Following Anatomic Lung Resection in Thoracic Surgery: A Prediction Model Derived From a Spanish Multicenter Database / Riesgo quirúrgico tras resección pulmonar anatómica en cirugía torácica. Modelo predictivo a partir de una base de datos nacional multicéntrica

Introduction: The aim of this study was to develop a surgical risk prediction model in patients undergoing anatomic lung resections from the registry of the Spanish Video-Assisted Thoracic Surgery Group (GEVATS). Methods: Data were collected from 3,533 patients undergoing anatomic lung resection for any diagnosis between December 20, 2016 and March 20, 2018.We defined a combined outcome variable: death or Clavien Dindo grade IV complication at 90 day.s after surgery. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed by logistic regression. Internal validation of the model was performed using resampling techniques. Results: The incidence of the outcome variable was 4.29% (95% CI 3.6-4.9). The variables remaining in the final logistic model were: age, sex, previous lung cancer resection, dyspnea (mMRC), right pneumonectomy, and ppo DLCO. The performance parameters of the model adjusted by resampling were: C-statistic 0.712 (95% CI 0.648-0.750), Brier score 0.042 and bootstrap shrinkage 0.854. Conclusions: The risk prediction model obtained from the GEVATS database is a simple, valid, and reliable model that is a useful tool for establishing the risk of a patient undergoing anatomic lung resection. (AU)

Introducción: El objetivo es obtener un modelo predictor de riesgo quirúrgico en pacientes sometidos a resecciones pulmonares anatómicas a partir del registro del Grupo Español de Cirugía Torácica Videoasistida. Métodos: Se recogen datos de 3.533 pacientes sometidos a resección pulmonar anatómica por cualquier diagnóstico entre el 20 de diciembre de 2016 y el 20 de marzo de 2018.Definimos una variable resultado combinada: mortalidad o complicación Clavien Dindo IV a 90 días tras intervención quirúrgica. Se realizó análisis univariable y multivariable por regresión logística. La validación interna del modelo se llevó a cabo por técnicas de remuestreo. Resultados: La incidencia de la variable resultado fue del 4,29% (IC 95%: 3,6-4,9). Las variables que permanecen en el modelo logístico final fueron: edad, sexo, resección pulmonar oncológica previa, disnea (mMRC), neumonectomía derecha y DLCOppo. Los parámetros de rendimiento del modelo, ajustados por remuestreo, fueron: C-statistic 0,712 (IC 95%: 0,648-0,750), Brier score 0,042 y Booststrap shrinkage 0,854. Conclusiones: El modelo predictivo de riesgo obtenido a partir de la base de datos Grupo Español de Cirugía Torácica Videoasistida es un modelo sencillo, válido y fiable, y constituye una herramienta muy útil a la hora de establecer el riesgo de un paciente que se va a someter a una resección pulmonar anatómica. (AU)

External validation of the European Society of Thoracic Surgeons morbidity and mortality risk models.

OBJECTIVES: There is a wide variety of predictive models of postoperative risk, although some of them are specific to thoracic surgery, none of them is widely used. The European Society for Thoracic Surgery has recently updated its models of cardiopulmonary morbidity (Eurolung 1) and 30-day mortality (Eurolung 2) after anatomic lung resection. The aim of our work is to carry out the external validation of both models in a multicentre national database. METHODS: External validation of Eurolung 1 and Eurolung 2 was evaluated through calibration (calibration plot, Brier score and Hosmer-Lemeshow test) and discrimination [area under receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC ROC)], on a national multicentre database of 2858 patients undergoing anatomic lung resection between 2016 and 2018. RESULTS: For Eurolung 1, calibration plot showed suboptimal overlapping (slope = 0.921) and a Hosmer-Lemeshow test and Brier score of P = 0.353 and 0.104, respectively. In terms of discrimination, AUC ROC for Eurolung 1 was 0.653 (95% confidence interval, 0.623-0.684). In contrast, Eurolung 2 showed a good calibration (slope = 1.038) and a Hosmer-Lemeshow test and Brier score of P = 0.234 and 0.020, respectively. AUC ROC for Eurolung 2 was 0.760 (95% confidence interval, 0.701-0.819). CONCLUSIONS: Thirty-day mortality score (Eurolung 2) seems to be transportable to other anatomic lung-resected patients. On the other hand, postoperative cardiopulmonary morbidity score (Eurolung 1) seems not to have sufficient generalizability for new patients.

Surgical Risk Following Anatomic Lung Resection in Thoracic Surgery: A Prediction Model Derived from a Spanish Multicenter Database. / Riesgo quirúrgico tras resección pulmonar anatómica en cirugía torácica. Modelo predictivo a partir de una base de datos nacional multicéntrica.

INTRODUCTION: The aim of this study was to develop a surgical risk prediction model in patients undergoing anatomic lung resections from the registry of the Spanish Video-Assisted Thoracic Surgery Group (GEVATS). METHODS: Data were collected from 3,533 patients undergoing anatomic lung resection for any diagnosis between December 20, 2016 and March 20, 2018. We defined a combined outcome variable: death or Clavien Dindo grade IV complication at 90 days after surgery. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed by logistic regression. Internal validation of the model was performed using resampling techniques. RESULTS: The incidence of the outcome variable was 4.29% (95% CI 3.6-4.9). The variables remaining in the final logistic model were: age, sex, previous lung cancer resection, dyspnea (mMRC), right pneumonectomy, and ppo DLCO. The performance parameters of the model adjusted by resampling were: C-statistic 0.712 (95% CI 0.648-0.750), Brier score 0.042 and bootstrap shrinkage 0.854. CONCLUSIONS: The risk prediction model obtained from the GEVATS database is a simple, valid, and reliable model that is a useful tool for establishing the risk of a patient undergoing anatomic lung resection.

Guía de práctica clínica de la SECT sobre el manejo de pacientes con neumotórax espontáneo / SECT Clinical practice guideline on the management of patients with spontaneous pneumothorax

Esta guía de práctica clínica (GPC) surge como iniciativa del comité científico de la Sociedad Española de Cirugía Torácica. Para elaborar dicha GPC se han formulado las preguntas PICO (paciente, intervención, comparación y outcome o variable resultado) sobre distintos aspectos del neumotórax espontáneo. Para la evaluación de la calidad de la evidencia y elaboración de las recomendaciones se han seguido las directrices del grupo de trabajo Grading of Recommendations, Assessent, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) (AU)

This clinical practice guideline (CPG) emerges as an initiative of the scientific committee of the Spanish Society of Thoracic Surgery. We formulated PICO (patient, intervention, comparison, and outcome) questions on various aspects of spontaneous pneumothorax. For the evaluation of the quality of evidence and preparation of recommendations we followed the guidelines of the Grading of recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) working group (AU)

SECT Clinical practice guideline on the management of patients with spontaneous pneumothorax. / Guía de práctica clínica de la SECT sobre el manejo de pacientes con neumotórax espontáneo.

This clinical practice guideline (CPG) emerges as an initiative of the scientific committee of the Spanish Society of Thoracic Surgery. We formulated PICO (patient, intervention, comparison, and outcome) questions on various aspects of spontaneous pneumothorax. For the evaluation of the quality of evidence and preparation of recommendations we followed the guidelines of the Grading of recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) working group.

Biopsia pulmonar por videotoracoscopia en el diagnóstico de la enfermedad pulmonar intersticial. Estudio prospectivo y multicéntrico en 224 pacientes / Video-Assisted Thoracoscopic Lung Biopsy in the Diagnosis of Interstitial Lung Disease: A Prospective, Multi-Center Study in 224 Patients

Introducción: Analizar si la localización y el número de biopsias pulmonares obtenidas por videotoracoscopia (BP-VTC) influyen en el diagnóstico de las enfermedades pulmonares intersticiales difusas (EPID) y evaluar la aplicabilidad de un programa de cirugía ambulatoria (CA). Pacientes y método: Estudio prospectivo y multicéntrico de BP-VTC practicadas en pacientes con sospecha de EPID desde enero de 2007 a diciembre de 2009, incluyendo 224 pacientes de 13 centros españoles. Los datos fueron recogidos de manera prospectiva en cada centro y enviados al centro coordinador para su análisis. Resultados: Las zonas más afectadas en la TACAR torácica fueron los lóbulos inferiores (55%). Se llevó a cabo broncoscopia en el 84%, y biopsia transbronquial en el 49,1%. En 179 casos (79,9%) se realizó más de una biopsia (concordancia diagnóstica: 97,2%). Se obtuvo un diagnóstico histopatológico definitivo en 195 pacientes (87%). No se hallaron factores estadísticamente significativos que pudieran predecir un mayor rendimiento diagnóstico (ni la localización anatómica de la biopsia ni el número de ellas). Setenta pacientes (31,3%) fueron incluidos en un programa de CA. Los índices de morbilidad tras el alta fueron comparables entre ingresados (9/154: 5.8%) y ambulatorios (3/70: 4.3%). Conclusiones: La localización anatómica y el número de BP no parecen influir en el diagnóstico de EPID. Los pacientes ambulatorios tuvieron un índice de complicaciones comparable a los casos que ingresaron, por lo cual este procedimiento podría ser incluido en un programa de CA. La BP-CVT es una herramienta fiable y segura para el diagnóstico de los pacientes con sospecha de EPID(AU)

Objectives: To evaluate whether the location and number of lung biopsies obtained by video-assisted thoracoscopy (VAT) influence the diagnosis of diffuse interstitial lung disease (ILD). To assess the applicability of an Ambulatory Surgery Program (ASP). Methods: Prospective, multicenter study of VAT lung biopsies due to suspected ILD from January 2007 to December 2009, including 224 patients from 13 Spanish centers (mean age 57.1 years; 52.6% females). Data were prospectively collected in every institution and sent to the coordination center for analysis. Results: The most affected areas in high resolution chest CT were the lower lobes (55%). Bronchoscopy was performed in 84% and transbronchial biopsy in 49.1%. In 179 cases (79.9%), more than one biopsy was performed, with a diagnostic agreement of 97.2%. A definitive histopathologic diagnosis was obtained in 195 patients (87%). Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis was the most frequent diagnosis (26%). There were no statistically significant factors that could predict a greater diagnostic yield (neither anatomical location nor number of biopsies). Seventy patients (31.3%) were included in an ASP. After discharge, there were complications in 12 patients (5.4%), similar between patients admitted postoperatively (9/154: 5.8%) and those included in an ASP (3/70: 4.3%). Conclusions: Anatomical location and number of lung biopsy specimens did not seem to influence the diagnosis. The patients included in an ASP had a complication rate comparable to that of the hospitalized, so this procedure can be included in a surgical outpatient program. Lung biopsy obtained by VAT is a powerful and safe tool for diagnosis of suspected ILD, resulting in a definitive diagnosis for the majority of patients with a low morbidity rate(AU)

Video-assisted thoracoscopic lung biopsy in the diagnosis of interstitial lung disease: a prospective, multi-center study in 224 patients.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate whether the location and number of lung biopsies obtained by video-assisted thoracoscopy (VAT) influence the diagnosis of diffuse interstitial lung disease (ILD). To assess the applicability of an Ambulatory Surgery Program (ASP). METHODS: Prospective, multicenter study of VAT lung biopsies due to suspected ILD from January 2007 to December 2009, including 224 patients from 13 Spanish centers (mean age 57.1 years; 52.6% females). Data were prospectively collected in every institution and sent to the coordination center for analysis. RESULTS: The most affected areas in high resolution chest CT were the lower lobes (55%). Bronchoscopy was performed in 84% and transbronchial biopsy in 49.1%. In 179 cases (79.9%), more than one biopsy was performed, with a diagnostic agreement of 97.2%. A definitive histopathologic diagnosis was obtained in 195 patients (87%). Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis was the most frequent diagnosis (26%). There were no statistically significant factors that could predict a greater diagnostic yield (neither anatomical location nor number of biopsies). Seventy patients (31.3%) were included in an ASP. After discharge, there were complications in 12 patients (5.4%), similar between patients admitted postoperatively (9/154: 5.8%) and those included in an ASP (3/70: 4.3%). CONCLUSIONS: Anatomical location and number of lung biopsy specimens did not seem to influence the diagnosis. The patients included in an ASP had a complication rate comparable to that of the hospitalized, so this procedure can be included in a surgical outpatient program. Lung biopsy obtained by VAT is a powerful and safe tool for diagnosis of suspected ILD, resulting in a definitive diagnosis for the majority of patients with a low morbidity rate.

[Analysis of the current situation and outlook of thoracic surgery]. / Análisis de la situación actual y previsión de futuro de la especialidad de cirugía torácica.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this descriptive study was to analyze the current situation and forecast the future requirements for specialists in thoracic surgery, taking into account the number of doctors entering and those possibly leaving this specialty. MATERIAL AND METHODS: The data for this study were taken from the Spanish Society of Pulmonology and Thoracic Surgery (SEPAR) (n=304), Thoracic Surgeons' Club (n=122), and the Spanish Council of Medical Associations (n=225). We also took into account the current number of resident surgeons (n=84). Other specialists were included who are not recorded in these databases but who are known to be practicing (n=10). The total number of practicing specialists obtained was 211. RESULTS: There are currently 52 working thoracic surgery departments and the highest number of practicing specialists was recorded in Madrid (n=44), Catalonia (n=33), and Andalusia (n=33). The forecast number of retirements (at age 65 years) and incorporations of new specialists means that there will be a surplus of 57 thoracic surgeons in the next 5 years. CONCLUSIONS: Thoracic surgery needs to limit the intake of new trainee specialists for at least the next 5 years.

Análisis de la situación actual y previsión de futuro de la especialidad de cirugía torácica / Analysis of the Current Situation and Outlook of Thoracic Surgery

Introduccióncon objeto de analizar la situación actual y realizar una previsión de futuro de las necesidades de especialistas de cirugía torácica, se ha llevado a cabo un estudio descriptivo teniendo en cuenta las incorporaciones y posibles salidas del sistema de médicos de esta especialidad.Material y métodoscomo base de datos se han tomado las de la Sociedad Española de Neumología y Cirugía Torácica (n=304), Club de Cirujanos Torácicos (n=122) y Consejo Español de Colegios de Médicos (n=225). También se ha considerado el número actual de médicos residentes (n=84). Se han añadido otros especialistas no censados en esta base de datos de los que se tiene constancia de su ejercicio (n=10). El total de especialistas en ejercicio considerados ha sido de 211.Resultadosactualmente hay 52 unidades de cirugía torácica con actividad y el mayor número de especialistas activos se registra en Madrid (n=44), Cataluña (n=33) y Andalucía (n=33). La previsión de jubilaciones (edad de 65 años) y nuevas incorporaciones de médicos especialistas hace que se prevea un excedente de cirujanos torácicos de 57 en los próximos 5 años.Conclusionesla especialidad de cirugía torácica debería moderar su oferta de formación de nuevos especialistas en los próximos 5 años como mínimo(AU)

ObjectiveThe objective of this descriptive study was to analyze the current situation and forecast the future requirements for specialists in thoracic surgery, taking into account the number of doctors entering and those possibly leaving this specialty.Material and methodsThe data for this study were taken from the Spanish Society of Pulmonology and Thoracic Surgery (SEPAR) (n=304), Thoracic Surgeons’ Club (n=122), and the Spanish Council of Medical Associations (n=225). We also took into account the current number of resident surgeons (n=84). Other specialists were included who are not recorded in these databases but who are known to be practicing (n=10). The total number of practicing specialists obtained was 211.ResultsThere are currently 52 working thoracic surgery departments and the highest number of practicing specialists was recorded in Madrid (n=44), Catalonia (n=33), and Andalusia (n=33). The forecast number of retirements (at age 65 years) and incorporations of new specialists means that there will be a surplus of 57 thoracic surgeons in the next 5 years.ConclusionsThoracic surgery needs to limit the intake of new trainee specialists for at least the next 5 years(AU)